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Statistics · BEGINNER LESSON

Pearson correlation

Pearson correlation is a statistic for two quantitative variables that measures the strength of their linear relationship. Its value runs from -1 to 1, with values near the ends indicating stronger straight-line positive or negative association. [0,1]

What it is

Pearson correlation is used for two quantitative variables, meaning variables measured on a numerical scale. It summarizes the strength of their relationship, but specifically the strength of a linear relationship, not just any pattern. A value of 1 means perfect positive linear association, -1 means perfect negative linear association, and 0 means no linear trend is present. [0,1]

[1] 6. The conundrum of regression, correlation, association, and ... - PMC [2] Regression-based Modeling of Spearman's Rho for ... - PMC

How it works

The statistic is computed from paired observations and reflects whether high values of one variable tend to go with high values of the other, or low with high. Because it is based on a linear pattern, it can miss strong curved relationships. In one example, a scatterplot looked clearly related but the Pearson correlation was small because the true pattern was quadratic, not straight. [0,1]

[1] 6. The conundrum of regression, correlation, association, and ... - PMC [2] Regression-based Modeling of Spearman's Rho for ... - PMC

Mechanism and interpretation

A useful way to think about Pearson correlation is as a measure of straight-line co-movement. If the cloud of points bends, the statistic may understate the association even when the relationship is obvious in the plot. Another source notes that rank-based Spearman’s rho is an alternative when a non-linear monotonic relationship is present; it uses ranks rather than the original values. [0,1]

[1] 6. The conundrum of regression, correlation, association, and ... - PMC [2] Regression-based Modeling of Spearman's Rho for ... - PMC

Limitations

A major limitation is that Pearson correlation only captures linear relationships. It can be small for a strong curved pattern, so a low value does not always mean weak association. In genetics, one paper describes a specialized use for estimating recombination fraction in controlled biparental populations, but it also states this should not be used as linkage disequilibrium in random-mating populations and can be unreliable with segregation distortion or when markers are far apart. [0,1,2]

[1] 6. The conundrum of regression, correlation, association, and ... - PMC [2] Regression-based Modeling of Spearman's Rho for ... - PMC [3] Estimating recombination fraction via Pearson correlation

Related ideas

Correlation is about strength of association, while regression describes the structure of the relationship. R-squared, written R^2, is used for multiple independent variables and measures the proportion of variation in an outcome explained by the regressors together. [0]

[1] 6. The conundrum of regression, correlation, association, and ... - PMC

SEE THE IDEA

Pearson correlation in three steps

Each step depends on the previous one: numerical pairs are checked for linear co-movement, then summarized by a single number. [0,1]

Pearson correlation is a summary of linear association, so curved patterns may still be strongly related even when the value is small. [0,1]

TRY IT YOURSELF

Test your understanding

Choose an answer, then check the explanation.

0 of 3 questions answered
01 Which statement best describes Pearson correlation?
02 A scatterplot shows a strong U-shaped pattern, but the Pearson correlation is close to 0. What is the best interpretation?
03 In a study of two quantitative variables, the Pearson correlation is 1. What does that mean?

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Sources and further reading

This general lesson was generated from public source material. It explains a concept; it does not interpret a private paper or provide medical advice.

  1. 6. The conundrum of regression, correlation, association, and ... - PMC
  2. Regression-based Modeling of Spearman's Rho for ... - PMC
  3. Estimating recombination fraction via Pearson correlation
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